Quote:
Originally Posted by jfman
They’ll spend most of it, that’s American jobs after all. Whether it moves the dial on the front line is another question entirely. The odd terrorist attack does not a successful counteroffensive make.
Then we get all the excitement all over again in six months time, when the house can stall until the next President pulls the plug.
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I think it’ll stabilise the front line. For Ukraine to advance, it needs the equipment commensurate with the rapid manoeuvre warfare its officer corps was trained on in Nato countries during 2023. The US has repeatedly resisted supplying such equipment (principally, F-16s in large numbers).
It is more likely that this war will now take significantly longer than it ought to, and it will end when Ukraine has done intolerable damage in the deep Russian rear - something they are getting very good at. Ironically, American efforts to stage-manage the conflict have directly led to Ukrainian innovations in drone technology that every Nato ally is going to have to learn to deal with PDQ, because the genie is out of the bottle, and very expensive weapons programmes are in danger of being superseded by kit you can buy in Wal Mart.