Re: Local elections 2012
Don't forget that the council seats changing hands were last contested in 2008 when things were very different indeed. Vine has just shown an early attempt to chart swing since 2011 and in %age terms it is not such a bloodbath, more like the sort of kicking you would expect parties in government to get in mid-term.
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Justine Greening just pointed out that the Tories gained 1,200 wards in 1999 while Blair was at his most popular - useful context.
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