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ntluser · 24-09-2016, 14:48

It's no real surprise that Jeremy Corbyn has won because he is obviously popular with Labour party supporters.

However, Labour party voters seemed to have not realised that though Corbyn is popular with them he has to be popular with non-Labour voters too.

At general elections roughly 30% of voters vote Labour and roughly another 30% vote Conservative with the remaining 40% consisting of Lib-Dem, UKIP, Green and Independent candidate supporters.

To win an election it follows that both Labour and the Conservatives have to appeal to members of that 40% group in order to achieve victory. Given that is the case it is unlikely that a hard left or a hard right manifesto will win the day.

So it may well be that Jeremy Corbyn has won the battle to stay leader of the party, but unless things change, Labour will lose the war for the hearts and minds of voters in the middle ground.

It will be interesting to see what changes in policy and action are made as a consequence of Jeremy Corbyn's leadership victory especially as Labour has a major credibility problem with running the economy effectively and efficiently and is viewed by many as a lapdog of the unions.

24-09-2016, 14:48	#645
ntluser cf.mega poster Join Date: Jun 2003 Location: Manchester Age: 76 Services: Virgin Media XL Telephone,TV with Tivo box & Superhub3 upto 150Mb Broadband, Sky World, & Freeview+ Posts: 1,901	Re: Corbyn's kerfuffle It's no real surprise that Jeremy Corbyn has won because he is obviously popular with Labour party supporters. However, Labour party voters seemed to have not realised that though Corbyn is popular with them he has to be popular with non-Labour voters too. At general elections roughly 30% of voters vote Labour and roughly another 30% vote Conservative with the remaining 40% consisting of Lib-Dem, UKIP, Green and Independent candidate supporters. To win an election it follows that both Labour and the Conservatives have to appeal to members of that 40% group in order to achieve victory. Given that is the case it is unlikely that a hard left or a hard right manifesto will win the day. So it may well be that Jeremy Corbyn has won the battle to stay leader of the party, but unless things change, Labour will lose the war for the hearts and minds of voters in the middle ground. It will be interesting to see what changes in policy and action are made as a consequence of Jeremy Corbyn's leadership victory especially as Labour has a major credibility problem with running the economy effectively and efficiently and is viewed by many as a lapdog of the unions.