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Old 01-04-2016, 15:52   #779
OLD BOY
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Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Wokingham
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Re: The future for linear TV channels

Quote:
Originally Posted by Stuart View Post
The thing is, whenever I fire up Netflix (and I do often watch Netflix), despite all my attempts to set it up so it knows exactly what I like, 9 times out of ten, what Netflix suggests for me is absolute crap. I have to dig around to find something I want to watch. I live with my sister and her other half. Most evenings, they spend over an hour looking on Netflix for something to watch, and don't find anything they both want to watch.

And yes, I have spent hours on the site detailing exactly what I like and what I don't.

Anyway, none of us know what the future holds. We may all abandon the linear channels, and stream everything. I don't think that will happen quickly (and by quickly, I mean in less than a few decades) purely because too much needs to be done to get UK broadband into a state where it's feasible to stream everything), but things can change. Twenty years ago, no one was considering streaming and, TBH, if anyone were to launch a streaming service, it was likely to be branded "Blockbuster Video", and presumably offer deals with their stores (money off in store if you stream sort of thing), the best quality version of the film would have been on DVD, and we would have been sure that any better quality successor to DVD would have been massively successful. Blu Ray succeeded DVD and less than ten years after release is already effectively being replaced. Blockbuster Video were destroyed by Lovefilm and Netflix.

Who's to say that Netflix won't go the same way? Who's to say that in ten years time, someone won't come along, offer something new and revolutionary, and destroy Netflix. You might argue that Netflix is too big for that to happen, after all they are probably Hollywood's largest investor, spending billions of dollars. In the 90s, Blockbuster spent billions of dollars a year investing in new films, and everyone thought they were to large to fail.
I am certainly not Netflix obsessed, but they are the big boys on the block at the moment.

Netflix isn't for everyone, I guess, but there will be a range of options in the future. I'm looking at the big picture and what might happen in the future, not just what we have now.

I think that some of the contributors to this thread, with every respect that I have for them, are basing their opinions too much on what we have now. Things will change radically over two decades. Look how different things are now from 1996. The pace of change is increasing all the time, so a better reference point might be 1990.

---------- Post added at 15:52 ---------- Previous post was at 15:44 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh View Post
History tells us that - what, the last 10 years?
I was going back rather longer than that, but have you not noticed any changes since 2006? Really? C'mon, Hugh, we are all living on the same planet. Video streaming wasn't even in my sights in 2006, but now it must comprise at least 40% of my viewing!

Please explain your comment, I am interested to know where you are coming from!
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