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Originally Posted by 1andrew1
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Seems a bit pointless, at this rate Omicron will hit a natural ceiling of people to infect before then, especially with boosters being taken up at the rate which they are. However many hospital admissions are already "baked in" from 90k testing positive yesterday, and however many will test positive due to a few days' incubation period catching it from others, even if they bring in a full lockdown tonight it will take a few days to peak, which might be what it would do naturally anyway. At some point it will reach the level where enough people are protected either from having covid, or from the vaccines, where it can't infect anyone else.
A ban on indoor mixing makes sense, if you can enforce it, which is the issue there. A lot of people are scaling down their plans which means that you won't necessarily see as much of an issue there, but realistically how do you stop a group of more than 6 mixing indoors, or two households, or whatever, you'd presumably have to monitor individual houses or something. Limiting pubs to outdoor service - well, some don't have the space so they'll have to close, and really people aren't going to sit outside in the middle of winter with their food/drinks so that's basically forcing them to close as well, so furlough will have to come back, all for a 2 week circuit breaker?
I understand they do need a "next stage" planned out if they need it but the time to go in harder was when they chose to go for Plan B measures, though it's not too easy to see what would actually work well. Plan B wasn't ever hard enough if you actually wanted to stop the virus.