Linear is old tech - on demand is the future
Well, that's what Virgin Media seem to think, and this interesting piece suggests that our cableco at least is set to move on from the traditional scheduled TV means of providing content.
This rather suggests that the days of more and more digital channels being added to VM may be coming to an end, in favour of a bigger and more comprehensive on demand selection from multiple sources. The question now is, how much longer do we have to wait before we see some more streaming services added to our TV packages? http://www.digitaltveurope.net/71015...pen-platforms/ Virgin Media: future of pay TV means more open platforms Only pay TV providers that aggregate multiple content providers together are likely to have a future, according to David Bouchier, chief digital entertainment officer, Virgin Media. Speaking at Marketforce’s Future of Broadcasting conference this morning, Bouchier also said that in the medium term, Liberty Global-owned Virgin Media faced the challenge of addressing two different audiences with conflicting needs. For younger audiences on-demand viewing is the norm, said Bouchier, but the majority still spend 83% of their time watching linear viewing. Most on-demand content is time-shifted viewing. Driven by the younger segment, there is a “dramatic decline” in the number of hours recorded on DVRs as people switch to on-demand, he said. “We have to provide a service…to both ends,” said Bouchier, in this “tale of two audiences”. Bouchier said that Virgin had “to go in a different direction to its competitors” with TV. “We are talking about moving away from simple linear TV and that [old] multichannel line-up,” he said. “Linear is the old technology and…not a valid pay TV proposition on its own.” Bouchier said “one brand is not enough”, meaning that Virgin has to provide a way for content partners to shift to an on-demand model. He cited the example of the Netflix app on Virgin’s platform, and the availability of on-demand viewing across screens on the platform, as showing the way ahead. Bouchier said that Virgin’s ability to bring multiple content sources together in a bundle delivers value to consumers and provides something that individual service providers such as Netflix can’t match. He said that the large global subscription video-on-demand companies are learning “a difficult truth” that the customer relationship established by the likes of Virgin Media, as a provider of bundled services, is “sticky” and “powerful”. For Netflix and others, keeping customers is a challenging business. “This [bundling] is core to our business. When you look at that fragmenting viewership…I am actually quite confident about where pay TV is going,” he said, arguing that no single online player offered sufficient value on its own. What Virgin needs to do is become “multi-service” player with market-leading broadband, he said. |
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It's the youth of today that are driving this and like it or not it will happen, personally I don't mind at all but media companies will have to change their game as will studios producing content.
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As far as live sport goes on-demand doesn't work.
It would be good to be able to watch say last nights rugby league in full now (assuming you missed the chance to record it yesterday) Is this possible - no, at best you might get a few minutes highlights! Imagine the uproar if on-demand movies only gave you a 4-5 minute highlight package? The blurb says it is down to time-shifting, surely you can do this by recording the live programme and watching at a later time. |
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There is no reason at all why you can't see the whole match of a game that happened previously, as long as the broadcaster has the rights to do so. |
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But as we look in the mirror every morning, we are reminded that time does not stand still! |
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Sky already 'get it', which is why they have downplayed a little their commitment to getting sports rights at all costs, and why they have brought Now TV to our screens. The move to Sky on the internet next year will be the next big step. |
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OB, as much as I agree with you on everything else about linear tv, I cannot agree with you regarding live sports, there's no way in hell that I would pre record a live sports event to watch later, so linear tv for live sports events will always be here imo.
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but then they haven't got it, I really cannot see many internet only subscribers wanting to pay for their outdated business model of subbing to a load of channels in order to get access to the few you may want which is how I have read everything that has been published so far about their internet only Sky Q package. It seems to me its been designed to be exactly the same as their satellite package but I hope I'm wrong on that. |
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But you do understand that you can watch a streamed event live, right? |
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Reasons 1) often 2 or more matches on at same time that I want to watch (how else can I do that?) 2) I am out almost every Saturday - recording allows me to watch later in the evening (or at a later date) 3) my wife doesn't watch sport so I watch when she isn't around. All in all time-shifting is a fact of life for me. |
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There is no conflict between streaming and watching live. You can watch live TV on the BBC i-Player, for example.
There appears to be a collective mental block on this subject! |
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Sky announced yesterday that Riviera has been downloaded more than 10 million times already making it the most popular box set release in Sky Atlantic history.
Clearly more and more are finding the benefits of On Demand. |
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It's a no brainer for me, but I will be patient while you catch up!! |
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Wait a week to watch the next episode at the time chosen by the broadcaster or use On Demand and watch as you see fit either binge or at your own leisure at a time what suits you.
It's pretty hard to argue linear offers you a better experience. With the exception of news and Sport we rarely watch live channels , everything is either On Demand or time shifted. |
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Well, my time is precious, Den, and I can watch three hour long programmes designed to be shown with commercial breaks in a little over two hours rather than three.
I admit that I really don't understand why you don't appear to see the wisdom of this, and you have never actually explained yourself on this point. However, as long as you're happy! :hugs: |
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The irony being I've never actually said linear is dead I just believe slowly but surely more and more people are starting to experience the benefits of On Demand. |
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Then there is cost - how to pay and how to air something new and get a return on it. How would you release something completely new? Do you try to charge per view, would customers risk the payment in advance? People buy box sets for shows they know they want. So do we have a Netflix subscription, or Amazon Prime with some content included, some extra or pay per view or purchase in advance. Do we now need adverts in on-demand content and how does that get sold? |
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Not true Sky make many of its original shows available in their entirety via On Demand allowing you to watch before completion of linear airing.
I agree it's more challenging for non Pay TV broadcasters. |
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It looks like the terrestrial commercial channels will lock you into the advertisements in much the same way as they do now (at least while people are still prepared to tolerate ads) and that is how they will make their money. However, I think, with the existing subscription services available, probably increasing in number with time, people will choose to view there rather than be stuck with unskippable ads, and so all the existing terrestrial on demand services will offer a subscription alternative to stay in the game. So, to answer your question, I guess that in the future, there will be a combination of subscription, pay per view, free and adverts swamped services to choose from, all at the expense of existing linear viewing on scheduled channels, which will decline in popularity as the current under 40s become the under 50s. |
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In 20 years' time, these 16-24 year olds will be 36-44, and thus it is straight forward to see how this will play out. My grandkids are so used to on demand viewing that they give me a funny look if on a rare occasion I'm on live tv and I have to tell them I can't fast forward! http://www.a516digital.com/2017/08/b...ill-watch.html |
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Cheers Dave |
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Live sport will probably be the norm on Netflix and Amazon before long.[/QUOTE]
Maybe, maybe not. |
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Nowhere near as much sport as OB imagines though.;) |
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Cheers Dave |
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Interesting article here on content protection, which did make me wonder why Virgin Media don't set up their own, more comprehensive version of TV Player, or even their own version of Now TV, relaying all the channels they currently offer to cable customers on a subscription basis. This would assist tremendously in bolstering income from the TV side of their operations, I would have thought.
http://advanced-television.com/2017/...one-stop-shop/ |
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Problem with pay to view is how to attract new audiences. If it's a pay per view then you can watch again if say you power goes off midway and pay to view (buying it to keep) can be very expensive. Some prices are much higher than buying the DVD, much, much higher if you can get 2nd hand DVDs.
Maybe you put episode 1 out free then charge for the rest, or release episodes to subscription with option to buy early. Possible on subscription for limited time then need to buy it. Lot's of choices. And many of the schemes disadvantage poorer elements of society. Or those who don't have fast broadband. The license fee is understandable, "fixed" and pays for both content and delivery. I have Netflix and Amazon Prime as subscription and VM for additional delivery and content. All of these are "fixed" cost, I don't use PPV as it's too expensive and I don't need it. |
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I would always go for subscription services where there is sufficient good content to justify it. ---------- Post added at 13:12 ---------- Previous post was at 13:09 ---------- Quote:
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As for pricing, I can understand your scepticism, given the cost of securing the rights, but Amazon is a global player with big pockets and can afford to put in a bid that would outflank Sky. I believe that they would gain more viewers with lower prices and probably combine subscriptions and offers with other parts of their business to maximise viewing audiences. They would be able to sell on some of the matches to other platforms/channels to increase their revenue. Why would you not welcome such an outcome, Den? |
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I can't see Amazon bidding for Premier League rights, they're just too expensive and also sold mostly on a country by country basis rather than the pan continental rights Amazon would want.
I can however see them buying up cheaper sports rights as they have done with ATP tennis to try and tie more people into their eco system, I could even see EFL rights going to them but The Premier League would just be too expensive unless they go for Match Of The Days highlights package. |
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https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/f...ball-5bn7lfbb5 |
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Not much as all he is doing is bigging up the price for the auction knowing full well Sky and BT Sport will bid massively and Sky will win the vast majority of the rights and BT Sport will settle for the remaining rights..
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You know we've all ribbed OB on this but in the latest Broadband now newsletter they say 8/10 people in the UK now use catch up tv or on demand.
Linear ofcourse is still going strong but maybe OB is on to something about on demand and catch up tv becoming most peoples method of tv soon. |
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Maybe the current youngsters 10-16 will slowly move to ondemand 100% (i still doubt it with sports...) but the older generation just wont so linear will be around for another 30 odd years. My mum knows how to watch eastenders on demand if she's missed it. But she'd just rather watch it "live". She knows the time its on so whats the point in her watching it on demand later on? |
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As you've been told numerous times it's already streamed now by both BT and Sky. |
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---------- Post added at 08:28 ---------- Previous post was at 08:21 ---------- Disney is to launch its own new streaming service, which will include Disney originals and sport. It is not clear whether this service will have global reach or whether it will only be available in the US, but it is a sign of things to come. http://advanced-television.com/2017/...aming-service/ ---------- Post added at 08:33 ---------- Previous post was at 08:28 ---------- CBS All Access is to be made available internationally, starting with Canada. http://www.broadbandtvnews.com/2017/...-to-go-global/ |
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So in your world we must subscribe to each individual broadcasters app to receive content, explain to me how that's going to be cheaper ?
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As they leave home and have to fork out from their own pockets after all the other bills then linear (include recording of linear) becomes more attractive. Subscription may have some takers but PPV can get very expensive. |
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Old Boy you change your tune with every post I'm not on about Sport I'm referring to your Disney and CBS post.
You seem to champion all these options and still fail to answer my question of how much will people be forced to outlay if we have to buy a sub for each broadcasters app. |
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It is impossible to put a price on this because every operator could have different models and methods of raising reveues. But you could make intelligent choices that suit you under such a regime and pay less. Even Sky recognises this, which is why we have Now TV. The evidence of how things are changing is there already, if you look for it. |
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Now TV is bundling just the same as Sky and Virgin only a lot smaller often referred to as a Skinny bundle.
What your suggesting is the likes of Showtime , HBO , CBS , Disney etc all going direct to the customer which in my opinion will work out far more expensive than the current bundling method. Did you read your Disney link , Disney moving it's content from Netflix and selling direct to the customer in the USA it's hard to think how that will be cheaper for the customer. |
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In terms of being cheaper for the customer, I think overall it will be, because it allows people to make alternative choices. It is these choices which will draw people away from pay tv as provided by Sky, VM, etc and suck them into these OTT services. Subscribers will become less loyal to these providers, choosing, say, Netflix, Amazon and Disney for a while, then moving to, say, Showtime, HBO and Disney a couple of years later. The vast amount of content will ensure that you wouldn't be subscribed to more than about three or four services at any one time because you simply wouldn't have time to see everything available if you took them all at once. It will soon be clear to most, as it is already to some, that bundles of channels as packaged by the satellite and cable operators are poor value for money, and OTT services will come cheaper, offer more, and without advert breaks. Ask yourself, if you subscribed to Netflix, Amazon, Disney and HBO, assuming that the latter were priced as Netflix and Amazon, and you dropped all your pay tv channels, would you not be better off? And if, say, Disney won the rights to Premier League Football and offered a service at, say, 85% of the present cost of the Sky Sports football option (or even 100% for that matter) would you not be better off overall? Don't forget you would have the Freeview channels on top of all this as well. I know that in the years to come, I will be looking to ditch the pay tv channels and go for Freeview and OTT services only. I'm just waiting for the right time and I think it is fast approaching. |
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Thanks for the explanation I'll leave it there , let's agree to disagree as none of that makes sense to me.
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If you are not paying £70 for Full House, just substitute your own figure. OTT services are still cheaper. ---------- Post added at 18:58 ---------- Previous post was at 18:56 ---------- Quote:
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My online subscriptions worked out over the year come to £79 a month, so it looks like I am paying more than having a full package on VM. However I am only paying for the content I want rather than subsidizing a service 90% of which I don't want and lots of that streaming content I am paying for is either not available on British TV or the cost is being shared with someone else, so in effect I'm paying around £83 a month for content I want or not available via traditional TV, not cheap but better than the pay TV alternative |
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For many, the BBC i-Player is now the preferred method of watching BBC content. In July alone, there were 145 million requests for programmes for both live and on demand programmes on this service.
https://www.rapidtvnews.com/20170818...#axzz4q6cluuk6 |
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One day, I probably will go through all the packages looking at what I can drop, but I don't really get much time for that sort of stuff at the moment. |
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They could also easily bundle channels together on the basis of the cost of those channels. So popular channels like Sky 1 would be bundled with Sky Living and Fox, for example. Likewise, the cheap and cheerful channels like Drama, CBS Drama and True Movies might go together. The way things are, streaming services are much more attractive on the basis of both content and price. ---------- Post added at 17:45 ---------- Previous post was at 17:38 ---------- Further evidence here of sports rights being picked up by OTT providers. Coming to the UK soon... http://www.digitaltveurope.net/73315...league-rights/ |
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I probably should have also said that the vast majority of my subscription costs are for sport, without trying to work things out again I'd guess if I didn't need sports my subs would be 50-60 percent lower. ---------- Post added at 18:20 ---------- Previous post was at 18:15 ---------- Quote:
what happens there is not necessarily coming here. Until Ofcom grow a pair we are going to be the 3rd world in digital rights compared to America! |
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I wouldn't rule out the likes of Amazon or one of the other major streaming players going after the Premiership this next time around. We know they are interested. ---------- Post added at 19:09 ---------- Previous post was at 19:07 ---------- Quote:
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I'm 50/50 with you on this i do agree with you streaming is growing and becoming more and more popular and widespread however live sports i feel will be linear for quite awhile. Maybe they'll be streaming and linear as SKY already do this via nowtv/skygo and SKY. I certainly wouldn't dismiss your theory though. |
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I agree with a lot that you say OB, but imo, and many others, there's no way that I would delay watching a live sports event, it will always be linear imo, ok it may be streamed by other providers, but it will always be watched by the majority of people as it happens. |
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Turner which is in fact a US broadcaster and will be making games available on it's channels also. It's only going OTT to extend the product to those who don't currently choose a pay TV package in the USA.
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Well worth a read.
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Interesting article here about the viewing traits of US millenials, with under 35s now watching 55% of their TV through their own recordings/on demand/OTT. Tolerence to advertisements is declining.
They haven't caught up with me yet - 100% own recordings/on demand/OTT and no ads, but I guess even the youngsters have difficulty keeping up! This tends to confirm my prediction that these new viewing choices will be the norm across the age ranges in the not too distant future, with all the implications this has for traditional broadcast channels. http://advanced-television.com/2017/...-than-live-tv/ |
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I think I owe OLD BOY an apology, I thought there was no way the likes of Amazon would spend the fortunes necessary to secure the pan regional rights for major sports events but I've just realised (somewhat belatedly) they will be showing live Thursday night NFL games this season.
Whilst this is most likely the cheapest package of NFL games available it shows they might be serious players in the sports rights business. Although I do believe pan regional rights for even the cheapest Premier League package would cost a lot more than these NFL rights Amazon has acquired. |
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This article should please Den and his followers - a new type of dynamic linear channel. Perhaps this may offer existing broadcasters a lifeline.
The idea is that through artificial intelligence, the system will learn what you like and prepare schedules for you to reflect your taste. So if you prefer your TV already scheduled for you, this could be the answer. I might even make some limited use of that myself, as long as I didn't have to sit through the boring adverts, which presumably, would also be taylored to my preferences! http://www.digitaltveurope.net/75368...ital-channels/ ---------- Post added at 13:51 ---------- Previous post was at 13:48 ---------- Zone TV taps AI for self-scheduling digital channels US and Canada-based OTT TV technology outfit Zone-TV is planning to tap the power of artificial intelligence to launch an OTT TV service with ‘linear-like’ channels that automatically schedule themselves according to the preference of the individual viewer. Zone-TV, formerly known as ES3, has acquired rights to about 70,000 shows not previously seen on TV to populate what it is describing as 14 ‘dynamic channels’. The group said that the channels would contain human-curated digital-first content but that the schedule of each would be modified by artificial intelligence in line with the tastes and interests of viewers. Quote:
It would not surprise me at all if Amazon made a play for the Premier League, but personally I hope it's Discovery that do this, which will even things up with Sky. |
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Sounds like a gimmick at best.
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How very strange. Ah well... ---------- Post added at 16:33 ---------- Previous post was at 16:33 ---------- Quote:
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Look, at the moment, I could put on ITV on Saturday and get a choice of The Family Chase, The X Factor, Jonathan Ross, News, American Pie. If I set my preferences to news, dramas and chat shows, my selection might become Liar, Victoria, Jonathan Ross, News, Lethal Weapon. It's still ITV, and all the programmes are extracted from the same week, but the shows are now to my liking. Conversely, a person who likes talent contests, reality documentaries and soaps might have the choice of The Family Chase, The X-Factor, Coronation Street, Tipping Point, Call the Cleaners, Britain's Claim Culture: Tonight and An Hour to Catch a Killer with Trevor McDonald. Call it a gimmick if you like, but this actually makes linear viewing far more acceptable and tailored to the needs of the individual or family. What's not to like? |
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