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View Full Version : can we have a democracy please


kronas
12-11-2003, 04:13
now i know i live in the uk but i did follow the elections in the US when bush was elected i was suprised in the way messers bush won

yes i was hoping gore would succed as he had previous experiance at being close to running the country i believe more so then bush

so it is with great delight that i bring the news that a wealthy billionaire is to help those who are running against bush

george soros has donated $15.5 million to bush's opponents

"America, under Bush, is a danger to the world," Soros said. Then he smiled: "And I'm willing to put my money where my mouth is."

now he means that in the literal sense :eeek:

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/washpost/20031111/pl_washpost/a24179_2003nov10

Jerrek
14-11-2003, 15:10
It is highly unlikely that Bush will not be re-elected at this time. Since 2000, several electoral votes were reassigned to red states due to population shifts.

(In the following list, Rep = state carried Bush in 2000, Dem = state carried Gore)

Arizona (Republican) gained TWO electoral votes.
Colorado (Republican) gained ONE electoral vote.
Florida (Republican) gained TWO electoral votes.
Georgia (Republican) gained TWO electoral votes.
Indiana (Republican) lost ONE electoral vote.
Mississippi (Republican) lost ONE electoral vote.
North Carolina (Republican) gained ONE electoral vote.
Ohio (Republican) lost ONE electoral vote.
Oklahoma (Republican) lost ONE electoral vote.
Texas (Republican) gained TWO electoral votes.

Net change: +7



California (Democrat) gaind ONE electoral vote.
Connecticut (Democrat) lost ONE electoral vote.
Illinois (Democrat) lost ONE electoral vote.
Michigcan (Democrat) lost ONE electoral vote.
New York (Democrat) lost TWO electoral votes.
Pennsylvania (Democrat) lost TWO electoral votes.
Wisconsin (Democrat) lost ONE electoral vote.

Net change: -7


So, Bush beat Gore with 271 to 267 electoral votes. If all else remains the same, because of the reassignment of electoral votes for 2001 to 2010 because of population shifts, Bush would have beaten Gore 278 to 260.


Just for interest's sake, here is a map of which county carried who in the election of 2000. Red = George W. Bush, Blue = Al Gore.

http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/fotos/2000county.gif
http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/fotos/2000county.gif

Chris
14-11-2003, 15:19
Jerrek, a lot of us Brits don't understand the US Presidential electoral system and think you all directly elect the president, so your explanation will be lost on some here. Could you outline how it works (as you're bound to do it better than me)?

Jerrek
14-11-2003, 15:30
The Founding Fathers were wary of major urban centers. They didn't want New York City and Los Angeles to dictate the course of the nation with the farmers and ranchers having no say. Due to this, they implemented a few things to balance things out. One such action was the two houses in Congress. One based on statehood in the union (Senate, 2 senators per state), and one based on population (514 representatives for the states--due to population shifts each state gets a different number of representatives each few years).

Now the voting. A simple majority vote tends to be very upsetting to people in rural areas. For example, no matter what the rest of Canada votes, Ontario will dictate what is happening due to our bad system.

To compensate for this, the electoral college was established. Now I think HowStuffWorks.com can do a better job than me:

Every four years, on the Tuesday following the first Monday of November, millions of U.S. citizens go to local voting booths to elect, among other officials, the next president and vice president of their country. Their votes will be recorded and counted, and winners will be declared. But the results of the popular vote are not guaranteed to stand because the Electoral College has not cast its vote.

The Electoral College is a controversial mechanism of presidential elections that was created by the framers of the U.S. Constitution as a compromise for the presidential election process. At the time, some politicians believed a purely popular election was too reckless, while others objected to giving Congress the power to select the president. The compromise was to set up an Electoral College system that allowed voters to vote for electors, who would then cast their votes for candidates, a system described in Article II, section 1 of the Constitution.

Each state has a number of electors equal to the number of its U.S. senators plus the number of its U.S. representatives. Currently, the Electoral College includes 538 electors, 535 for the total number of congressional members, and three who represent Washington, D.C., as allowed by the 23rd Amendment. On the Monday following the second Wednesday in December, the electors of each state meet in their respective state capitals to officially cast their votes for president and vice president. This year that day is Dec. 18. These votes are then sealed and sent to the president of the Senate, who on Jan. 6 opens and reads the votes in the presence of both houses of Congress. The winner is sworn into office at noon Jan. 20. Most of the time, electors cast their votes for the candidate who has received the most votes in that particular state. However, there have been times when electors have voted contrary to the people's decision, which is entirely legal.

In most presidential elections, a candidate who wins the popular vote will also receive the majority of the electoral votes, but this is not always the case. There have been three presidents who have won an election with fewer popular votes than their opponent but more electoral votes.

Here are the three elections when the candidate who led the popular vote did not win the office:

1824: John Quincy Adams received more than 38,000 fewer votes than Andrew Jackson, but neither candidate won a majority of the Electoral College. Adams was awarded the presidency when the election was thrown to the House of Representatives.

1876: Nearly unanimous support from small states gave Rutherford B. Hayes a one-vote margin in the Electoral College, despite the fact that he lost the popular vote to Samuel J. Tilden by 264,000 votes. Hayes carried five out of the six smallest states (excluding Delaware). These five states plus Colorado gave Hayes 22 electoral votes with only 109,000 popular votes. At the time, Colorado had been just been admitted to the Union and decided to appoint electors instead of holding elections. So, Hayes won Colorado's three electoral votes with zero popular votes. It was the only time in U.S. history that small state support has decided an election.

1888: Benjamin Harrison lost the popular vote by 95,713 votes to Grover Cleveland, but won the electoral vote by 65. In this instance, some say the Electoral College worked the way it is designed to work by preventing a candidate from winning an election based on support from one region of the country. The South overwhelmingly supported Cleveland, and he won by more than 425,000 votes in six southern states. However, in the rest of the country he lost by more than 300,000 votes.

Today, a candidate must receive 270 of the 538 votes to win the election. In cases where no candidate wins a majority of electoral votes, the decision is thrown to the House of Representatives by virtue of the 12th Amendment. The House then selects the president by majority vote with each state delegation receiving one vote to cast for the three candidates who received the most electoral votes.

Here are the two elections that were decided by the House of Representatives:

1801: Thomas Jefferson and Aaron Burr, both Democrat-Republicans, received the same number of electoral votes, despite the fact that Burr was running as a vice presidential candidate, not for the presidency. Following 36 successive votes in the House, Jefferson was finally elected president.

1825: As mentioned above, Andrew Jackson received a majority of the popular vote over John Quincy Adams, but neither man received a 131-vote majority of electoral votes needed at the time to claim the presidency. Adams won the House vote on the first ballot.

Proponents of the Electoral College say that the system served its purpose in the elections listed above, despite the fact that the candidate who won the popular vote didn't always win the election. The Electoral College is a block, or weighed, voting system that is designed to give more power to the states with more votes, but allows for small states to swing an election, as happened in 1876. Under this system, each state is assigned a specific number of votes that is proportional to its population, so that each state's power is representative of its population. So, while winning the popular vote may not ensure a candidate's victory, a candidate must gain popular support of a particular state to win the votes in that state. The goal of any candidate is to put together the right combination of states that will give him or her 270 electoral votes.

I am VERY fond of this system. It removes the insane power big cities can wield over the rest of the country.